Are Blu-ray's Days Numbered? The Half Life of AV Disc Theory
- By: Jerry Del Colliano
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- February 13, 2009
New audio-video formats have a definite lifespan and that lifespan is getting increasingly short as "convergence" becomes more and more of a factor in consumer electronics. As Dr. Ken Taraszka pointed out in his January 2009 look at the current state of high-definition adult home video content, pornographers, who without an argument have shaped the rise of VHS and DVD-Video, are starting to look past Blu-ray towards various levels of HD video downloads via the Internet. Netflix is offering downloads to "future-proof" their booming business model for a day with no discs. Apple's iTunes is selling movies by the millions and delivering them not just to iPods, but also to iPhones and Apple TVs and then networking them wirelessly around the home.Keywords
Blu-ray, When will Blu-ray be obsolete, HD Downloads, commercial lifespan of Vinyl, Commercial lifespan of cassette tapes, commercial lifespan of the Compact Disc, SACD, DVD-Audio, DVD-Video, Playstation 3, Apple TV as a media server, Commercial viability of VHS, commercial viability of Beta, Dolby True HD, DTS Master Audio, Affordable Blu-ray players, quick-loading Blu-ray players, Video Concepts (retailer), Price of a VHS deck in 1979, Pay-per-view HD downloads, QuickTime video, Blu-ray video, HD content for porn
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Comment on this article
4I am glad you finally put this idea into print!
We've discussed this concept for some time, and it goes along with what I feel will be the winner, downloads. I can see Blu-ray maintaining a place in the market despite downloads as their is something to 'owning' the disc (though I haven't bought many Blu-ray titles as Netflix rents them all!) and it will be some time before we get the increase in bandwidth to allow fully uncompressed audio to come with the 1080p video, especially in more remote areas.
What will the life expectancy be? We won't truly know until it dies, but the theory is valid!
I don't mean to discourage people from getting Blu-ray. With $200 players and discs for rent at Netflix - its just plain CHEAP to get 1080p video. ANY enthusiast will want that NOW...
The major limitation will be the bandwidth of the Internet. I don't know about you but my Internet doesn't seem that fast and I pay for FAST Internet. We need a revolution in terms of our infrastructure for Internet to get HD downloads to be what we want them to be for feature films. Obama seems to be into this so maybe it will happen in the next few years.
For now - enjoy Blu-ray and 1080p.
Wait, did I miss the internet bail out??
This is good stuff Jerry. We`ll have to wait and see what transpires.
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